If we could accurately predict the future we'd be rich, and we'd get all the good-looking girls or guys, whichever we preferred.
Unfortunately the future is difficult, at best, to predict, even inaccurately, which brings us to the independent economic impact study being considered by the Imperial Irrigation District.
The IID Board of Directors, upon recommendation of its community advisory commission, is thinking about approving a new study to look at what the economic impacts of fallowing might be, as well as the possible economic impacts of potential water-saving measures on-farm.
All of this for the pending IID-to-San Diego County Water Authority transfer.
As far as we can tell, every economic study to date has been discredited. First, there was the Dornbush study, discredited because it only addressed pumpback systems. Then there was the recent Bureau of Reclamation study on the potential economic impacts of fallowing that claims the Imperial Valley would actually benefit from fallowing. Now — though it has not yet been released — is the draft environmental impact report/environmental impact statement. Its detractors are saying the data in the report are years out of date.