Many in the media are surprised that Bush has done in office (or tried to do) what he pledged he would during the campaign. While some compromises have been necessary due to the makeup of Congress (and others, like school choice, were jettisoned before they had a chance to be properly debated), Bush has mostly moved his agenda forward. Now if he'd only go after the easy targets of government waste, fraud and abuse.
Democrats have been trying to find something — anything — with which to whittle away at Bush's sustained popularity (83 percent in the latest USA Today/Gallup/CNN Poll). They realize that many who voted against Bush, especially the Democrats' core constituency of blacks, women and Hispanics, are taking another look and like what they see.
According to a Los Angeles Times Poll in November, Hispanic support for Bush had jumped to 89 percent, a 30-point gain from July. That figure not only reflects Hispanic support for Bush's handling of the war but his proposals to jump-start the economy. A Gallup Poll found that within one month of the terrorist attack, President Bush's approval among African-Americans had soared to 70 percent, its highest ever. Various surveys have shown that women, for the first time in many years, support a war in the same percentages as men. Without a majority of these key constituencies, Democrats can't win elections.
An important component of Bush's performance as president is his strong religious faith, something he shares more with average voters than media types and academic elites, who often disdain such things. Those who don't share his faith, or its depth, seem to appreciate that Bush consistently tries to reflect in his life what is in his heart and spirit.
All of this goodness will amount to little politically unless the president stops trying to win over Democrats and starts rolling over them.
In an ‘‘open letter'' to Bush, Paul Weyrich, who heads the conservative Free Congress Foundation and has one of the better political minds in Washington, warns the president that today's Democrats are a different breed from those of a generation ago. It will do no good to praise them publicly, says Weyrich, when privately they're doing everything they can to ‘‘stab you in the back.''
Unless Bush begins to draw sharp distinctions between the parties to attract the all-important swing voters, Weyrich warns, Democrats could win back the House and pad their one-vote Senate lead. If they do, he predicts, ‘‘they will use their subpoena power to make your life miserable. They will see that you accomplish nothing. Then they will turn around and accuse you of being a do-nothing president.''
The first year of the Bush presidency has been a triumph. He must use the months leading up to the November election to convince voters he needs a GOP majority in both houses of Congress. Unless he gets it, the last two years of this term will find Bush working to fight off Democrats, not advancing his agenda, and there might not be a second term.